Mahoshada in his article on January 16,
2005, advocates free trade, particularly free imports as he
considers "both exports and imports are good". He is advising
the government to refrain from restricting imports, as this is
harmful to long-term economic development. Mahoshada of course,
as revealed in his articles, believes that the free market is
the ideal framework for economic growth and the state should
only provide the infrastructure, fight inflation and balance
budgets and do almost nothing else, leaving the market forces
alone, so that the invisible hand of the price mechanism could
guide production and distribution. The main prescriptions of his
philosophy are liberalization and deregulation of all economic
activity by removing restrictions on market forces to allow free
trade and free movement of foreign capital and free fluctuation
of prices and by privatization of state-owned business
enterprises to remove the state from economic activity: in other
words, adopt the free market (or the American model) or
trickle-down economic model.
The laissez faire prescriptions of
liberalization, deregulation and privatization are the
stereotyped reforms recommended by the IMF/World Bank/WTO for
developing countries. What is forgotten is that these
prescriptions result in the loss of economic sovereignty – loss
of freedom to determine economic and social policies that suit a
country best – what the latest UNCTAD Report on Trade and
Development (2004) refers to as "loss of policy space". Any
developing country needs to develop its economy rapidly and that
can be done by creating and promoting agriculture and industry
to produce goods both for the domestic market and exports.
Besides, that is the only way of utilizing the country’s
physical and human resources, create employment and income and
remove poverty. Non-selective trade liberalization however tends
to frustrate these development efforts by flooding the country
with cheap imports to undermine domestic agriculture and
industry.
Developing countries are advised to pursue
export-led growth by producing new manufactures, but a country
cannot export manufactures without first building the capacity
to produce them and for this purpose import substitution can
provide the necessary impulse. It would be na`EFve to expect
developing countries; in particular, those which are struggling
with basic production problems, to become fully-gown exporters
of manufactures unless they first set up industries to
manufacture goods to replace imports. Such industries need to
have selective protection against cheap imports. If it is not
done, the country may never have manufacturing industries of its
own and is likely to remain in an impoverished state.
Competition from cheap imports
Import liberalization has resulted in the
subsidized agricultural produce of developed countries
undermining domestic agriculture of developing countries, for
example, subsidized corn imported from the U.S. threw out of
jobs many maize farmers in Mexico, Philippines and Tanzania,
while subsidized rice from the U.S. undermined rice farming in
Haiti; cotton farming in West Africa is threatened by subsidized
cotton imports from the U.S., dairy farming in Brazil by
subsidized U.S. dairy products and sugar industry in South
Africa by subsidized sugar imports from the U.S. It is important
to recognize that almost all agricultural exports from developed
countries are subsidized and it is against these artificially
cheap goods that developing country farmers have to compete.
The stagnation of Sri Lanka’s subsidiary food
production, on which thousands of farmers depend for employment
and income, in recent years has also been partly caused by
inadequate protection against cheap imports. Actually in the
last four years, 1999 to 2003, production of some subsidiary
food crops declined: big onions by 51 per cent, red onions and
chillies by 16 per cent and maize by 5 per cent. The authorities
in Sri Lanka have also kept import prices of sugar, milk and
fish low in order to keep the cost of living down, but cheap
imports from developed countries make it difficult to increase
domestic production which only meets 15 per cent of the
requirements in sugar and milk. Sugar cane cultivation, diary
farming and fishing are some of the most effective ways of
providing employment and improving living conditions. The
excessive expenditure of foreign exchange too can be saved at
least to some extent by increasing domestic production. In 2003,
we spent Rs. 11,540 million on milk and milk products, Rs.
11,196 million on sugar and Rs. 6, 089 million on fish, mainly
dried and canned. Should we go on importing these without
encouraging domestic production?
Domestic industry similarly has no chance of
survival in competition with cheap imports resulting from
non-selective liberalization. The initial import liberalization
in Sri Lanka destroyed about 5000 small and medium industries
while the subsequent import liberalization undermined and
crippled several domestic industries big and small. The removal
of the 35 per cent import tariff, crippled the nascent textile
industry while liberalization undermined domestic industries
such as paper, iron and steel, hardware, brass fittings,
sanitary ware, glassware, tea machinery, electrical fittings,
electrical appliances, such as refrigerators and motor spare
parts throwing many workers into unemployment. Further, the
creation of a ‘level playing field’ and according national
treatment to foreign capital deprives the government of the
power to protect and build up domestic industries. On the
contrary, it enables TNCs to take over domestic business. To
hasten this process, foreign investors are given tax holidays
and other concessions. The liberalization imposed by the IMF on
South Korea and Thailand after the currency crisis of 1997-1998,
enabled several TNCs to swallow up local industries such as
motor vehicles, electronics, chemicals and banks and other
financial institutions.
The liberalization prescribed by the IMF has
deprived millions of poor people of access to food, health,
education and housing and led to "IMF riots" in Indonesia 1998,
Bolivia 2000 and Ecuador 2001. In Bolivia, the free market
policies brought in little foreign capital, ruined domestic
industries and created unemployment on a large scale that the
former President of the country, Gonzalo Sanchez de Lozada, says
"This stuff about the invisible hand – it just does not work
that way" and admits that the old model is due for a make-over
with government intervention in the economy. In Russia,
liberalization and privatization did not create an efficient and
competitive market – but instead large private monopolies, the
oligarchs and the Mafiosi with control over industry, trade,
banking and the news media.
Protecting infant industries in the U.S.
The IMF/World Bank have made opening up markets
in developing countries a condition for loans, in the belief
that this would lead to greater efficiency, higher growth and
less poverty. They say that those countries which have given up
on protection and become more export-driven have grown much
faster than those nations that have maintained barriers to
trade. Mahoshada repeats these arguments. What is ignored in
these arguments is that successful countries develop industrial
strength before they fully open up their markets. This is what
the U.S. did. It industrialized in the nineteenth century behind
hefty tariff barriers. "I don’t know much about the tariff" said
Abraham Lincoln – "but I do know if I buy a coat in America,
I have a coat and America has the money". When the country was
flooded with cheap imports, tariffs described as the "American
System" was imposed in 1816 to prevent the ruin of industry.
They were followed in 1828 by the highest tariff of the
half-century – "the Tariff of Abominations" – and then the
Compromise Tariff of 1833, the Walker tariff of 1846 and the
Morrill Tariff of 1861. It was those high tariffs which led
to the rapid growth of manufacturing industries such as cotton
textiles, iron and steel, lead, wood, hemp, woollen textiles,
paper, leather, copper, steel rails and glass. The period after
1883 is remarkable for its great intensification of protection
through such measures as the McKinley Tariff of 1890, the
Dingley Tariff of 1897 and the Payne-Aldrich Tariff of 1909. As
Professor Knowles states in his book: "Economic Development
of the Nineteenth Century!" "From a low-tariff country the
U.S. has become the leading protectionist country in the world".
It is only after its industries were well established and
required external markets that the U.S. began to preach free
trade. It tend to forget its own history when it preaches
developing countries to dismantle their protective tariffs and
open the doors for cheap imports and undermine their infant
industries (also see, Cambridge Economist, Ha-Joon Chang’s
Kicking Away the Ladder: Development Strategy in a Historical
Perspective)
America’s route was followed by Germany, Japan,
Asian Tigers and India. Professor Okita stated once that Japan
would not have an automobile industry had it allowed free
imports of automobiles after World War II. Many do not know that
most economies in East Asia did not start to fully liberalize
imports until export growth was well established. These
countries like the today’s industrialized countries have used a
combination of policy tools opposed to the free trade orthodoxy:
tariffs, tariff rebates on imported inputs in exports, export
subsidies, restriction on the exports of raw materials used by
key industries, government regulation of the quality of goods
produced for export and government provision of information on
export markets and marketing assistance. India would not have
developed its large industrial sector had it allowed free
imports in the early years after Independence.
No country practises free trade
Mahoshada waxes eloquently on free trade but
there is no country which practises free trade entirely: they
all have selective restrictions on trade to protect their
industries. The U.S. preaches free trade and free markets to the
rest of the world but it practises them at home only when they
promote its interests. The agricultural market in the U.S. for
example, is not free as it is distorted by massive producer
subsidies to encourage inefficient production, export
subsidies/credits to dump it in foreign markets and protective
tariff and non-tariff barriers to keep out competing imports.
Agricultural subsidies per farmer in the U.S. in 2001 amounted
to US$ 20,000 or 22 per cent of production value. The U.S. has
pumped US$70 billion over the last four years on subsidies and
now proposes to spend US$ 180 billion over the next 10-years.
Developing country exports are levied protectionist tariffs as
high as 350 per cent on tobacco, 132 per cent on groundnuts, 90
per cent on cane sugar, 80 per cent on butter and 55-85 per cent
on milk and milk products. In addition, tariff quotas are
imposed on sensitive items such as milk, butter, sugar, tobacco,
groundnuts and wheat.
While the average tariff on manufactures is low
in the U.S., tariff rates are high on sensitive goods, for
example, over 30 per cent on clothing. In addition to tariffs,
the U.S. employs a wide array of non-tariff measures such as
orderly marketing arrangements, voluntary export restraints,
quotas, screw-driver regulations, rules of origin and
anti-dumping measures. Imports of textiles and garments from
developing countries were restricted by quotas until 2005. The
U.S. routinely threatens developing countries which refuse to
open up for U.S. goods under Clause 301 of the U.S. Trade Law
and in recent times it has imposed anti-dumping measures on
several imports which competed with domestic industries, e.g.
textiles and apparel, steel, lamb meat, catfish from Vietnam and
TV sets from China. The U.S. further is not averse to
browbeating or intimidating other countries to do what it wants.
Some years back it pressurized Taiwan and South Korea to open
its markets for American cigarettes. In recent times, it
persuaded Vietnam to cap its textile exports to the U.S. market
due to pressure from American textile lobbies.
Export-led growth and the environment
Export oriented development prescribed by the
IMF/World Bank and supported by Mahoshada does not mean that
exports must be totally free of any restrictions for it has
unexpected destructive effect on the environment. Fishermen and
small-scale rice farmers in Thailand describe the destruction of
the coastal eco-systems due to export-oriented shrimp farming.
The large-scale expansion of industrial shrimp farming has
helped destroy nearly half the country’s coastal mangrove
forests between 1985 and 1990, devastating fish habitats and
causing salinization of water supplies to paddy fields. The
destruction of mangrove forests by prawn faming was a major
cause of the devastation caused to the coastal belt in Sri Lanka
by the recent Tsunami. Further, the encouragement of gem
exports has led to industrial environmental damage to river
beds, river basins and upcountry forests by gem mining. Should
not such environmental damage be arrested by some sort of
restriction of export of prawns and gems?
Further, by 1988, some 15 million hectares,
nearly half of the land area of Thailand had been allotted to
private logging concessions and 3.2 million hectares had been
converted to export crop production. Thailand’s forest cover has
declined from 53 per cent of its area in 1961 to 28 per cent in
the late-1980s setting the stage for widespread soil erosion In
1988, heavy rains caused major flooding in the south with
hundreds dying; this led to the government to declare a ban on
all logging in 1989. Professor Saneh Chamarik, the Chairman of
the Bangkok People’s Forum said: "these agencies must stop
thinking only of economic growth numbers because these numbers
have destroyed people’s lives as well as the environment".
Selective controls are indispensable
Selective controls on trade and investment are
indispensable instruments of economic development for developing
countries. They were used by the developed countries to build up
their own industries and are being used even today to protect
these industries from competition from cheap imports from
developing countries. Unrestricted imports may result in cheap
imports and reduction in cost of living but they will prevent
long-term development by creation of domestic industries. Of
course, consumers have to pay the higher tariffs but these are
necessary costs of economic development. Isn’t the U.S. imposing
a 310 per cent tariff on tobacco and Japan a 900 per cent tariff
on rice, to promote development by protecting their industries?
It is difficult to understand why Mahoshada is backing free
imports so vigorously when even the developed countries are
selectively controlling their imports? When import restrictions
and subsidies of developed countries are in fact obstructing
free exports of developing countries!