During the post-war years Marshall Aid from USA
funded the recovery of Europe. So when the developing countries
which were then designated ‘less developed ‘ came to embark on
development programmes they were advised by economists about two
factors that would limit their development projects.
One was the ‘savings’ gap or the lack of
sufficient domestic savings to fund all the investment that was
required to build the infrastructure by way of roads, power
plants, dams and irrigation works. It was argued that these
countries had only about 15-17% of the GDP by way of savings and
that 12% of the GDP was required to fund the public
administration and another 5% to maintain and preserve the
economic infrastructure of roads, bridges, power plants and the
social infrastructure of hospitals and schools. So these
countries have to engage in a deliberate mobilization of savings
from already low per capita incomes by reducing consumption if
they are to develop. The former colonial countries with some
sense of guilt perhaps suggested the developed world should
provide foreign aid to these countries to supplement their
national savings.
Economists pointed out that these countries also
lacked sufficient foreign exchange to import the required
capital goods for development projects. So they talked about a
foreign exchange gap as well. To tide over the savings gap and
the foreign exchange gap they advocated foreign aid.
But Sri Lanka in the fifties did not lack
foreign exchange since we exported tea, rubber and coconut
products and earned considerable foreign exchange which could be
used to finance the capital goods for investment. The savings
gap could be met from government revenue. The plantations were
taxed to provide the income of the government and fund the
development programme. But by the end of the 1950s, the terms of
trade - the balance between the import costs and export earnings
- had turned adverse. The prices of our commodity exports were
stagnant while the prices of imported industrial goods
increased. So we actively sought and obtained foreign aid to
meet the savings gap and the foreign exchange gap.
The amount of foreign aid increased dramatically
after 1977. In 1977 it was Rs. 1,255 million while in 1978 it
jumped to Rs. 3,953 million. Thereafter it increased with the
Mahaweli Project. Foreign aid became an important item in the
financing part of the budget.
Aid is not cost effective
The projects funded by foreign aid cost too much
- much more than would have if funded locally. This is partly
because a lot of foreign aid comes with conditions imposed by
the donor countries. These countries insist that the goods and
technical expertise required for the project should be obtained
from them and these often cost much more than in the world
market. Foreign contractors pad up foreign aided projects to pay
kickbacks to ministers and bureaucrats. Some estimate that the
cost of the project goes up by about 30% owing to such
corruption.
International institutions like the World Bank
and the Asian Development Bank as well as the International
Monetary Fund give foreign loans. The advantage of foreign aid
is that the terms of the loans are non-commercial from the
donors’ point of view. The rate of interest is very low often
about 2-3% and the terms of repayment are long, being over 15-20
years
Foreign Aid the source of grand corruption
Foreign aid can take several forms. It can be
military aid, debt relief, and economic development assistance,
and even disaster assistance money. We have benefited by way of
a debt payment freeze this year. The US Government has granted a
debt repayment freeze of $110 million according to a recent
report attributed to the Minister of Finance. All these are with
"strings attached". The donor institutions want human rights to
be upheld. Greece which had passed an Anti-Conversion Law was
required to suspend its implementation and later agree to
rescind it before US aid could be given. The donors want an
Interim Administration for the North & East because they can’t
give aid directly to the banned LTTE. But they are keen to give
aid to the areas under Tiger control. Foreign aid doesn’t
include tariff preferences. The future of our garment industry
depends on duty free and quota free access to the EU but these
are conditional on observance of human rights, which continue to
be violated all the time.
Foreign aid is also associated with "fraud,
waste, and abuse." In fact it has been estimated that about 30%
of aid proceeds are siphoned into the pockets of ministers and
their cronies. Without foreign aid such grand corruption has no
scope for our state is cash-strapped. There are many people who
feel that foreign aid is the main cause for the culture of
corruption that pervades our society. The fraud and failure of
foreign aid is now so obvious that it has ended up in the pages
of the prestigious American Economic Review. Economists Alberto
Alesina and Beatrice Weder ask the simple question, "Do
Corrupt Governments Receive Less Foreign Aid?" in the
September 2002 issue, (quoted in the Ludwig Von Mises Institute
website).
They found no evidence that nations and
multinational institutions direct their foreign aid to less
corrupt governments and away from more corrupt governments. In
fact some others say the US Government prefers to give foreign
aid to highly corrupt governments because they will do their
bidding more willingly. They prefer highly corrupt democracies
to dictatorships. The Ludwig Von Mises Institute has raised the
question whether there is a correlation between democracy
and high corruption in developing countries. The
American Economic Review authors tentatively conclude that
foreign aid over time increases government corruption in
beneficiary nations. We qualify having had foreign aid for fifty
years. They say "government-to-government "gifts"
actually make government worse over time in terms of both
government corruption and economic growth and creates what the
authors call a "voracity effect" in recipient
countries.
These authors’ brief review of the academic
literature on foreign aid points out that:
* Foreign aid is used largely for "wasteful
public corruption."
* Aid money is counterproductive for good
public policies.
* Foreign aid money is given for "strategic"
reasons, not real needs.
* Debt relief is not effective.
* Corruption has a negative impact on economic
growth
If we consider the use to which foreign aid has
been put by our governments most of these points are borne out.
Aid money goes into projects, which do not necessarily promote
good governance or economic growth.
Foreign aid doesn’t make help self-sustainable
economic growth
Some economists argue that the big players in
foreign aid, the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank,
are more likely to bring about economic meltdown and social
calamity than economic stability. Why do they say that? Because
foreign aid came to be linked with what the IMF called
‘stabilization programs’ and structural adjustment programs.
Over the longer term foreign aid prevents the
political leaders from taking the hard economic decisions
required for self-sustainable growth. Instead they are tempted
by foreign aid to indulge in an orgy of extravagant consumption
for themselves and for the country. They don’t realize that
there is a cost to their extravagance. The foreign aid enables
money, which would otherwise have to be mobilized for investment
to be used for the day-to-day spending of the government
including expenditure on the war effort. If there were no
foreign aid the political leaders would have been forced to
economise on public expenditure and the country’s expenditure in
foreign currency.
Under foreign aid the political establishment
has grown and become too costly with MPs and ministers enjoying
duty free limousines, and other perks all casting a heavy burden
on the budget. They enjoy foreign funded jaunts, which bring no
benefit to the country. Politicians with extravagant perks are
not only at the centre but also at the provincial and pradeshiya
level. Although the Provincial Councils are on paper vested with
a variety of functions they have no fiscal autonomy. They don’t
have powers of taxation to raise money to cover their
expenditure budget. Instead they get grants from the central
government snapping the connection between expenditure and
taxation which alone exacts a sense of financial responsibility.
Foreign Aid in short makes our political leaders blind to
economic realities and make them irresponsible spendthrifts.
But the bills have to be paid even they fall due
even after a long period. The massive foreign aid in the form of
loans taken over the last twenty-five years are now falling due
for repayment. This year’s budget provided for $500 foreign debt
repayment which has been frozen by the creditors. If new foreign
aid stops it is very likely that the government will have to
default on foreign debts falling due for repayment next year and
years thereafter. The carnival will then be over for the
politicians.
Foreign aid has not stimulated a higher growth
rate and has also adversely affected the creation of jobs. We
have a large army of unemployed and need a labour intensive
economic strategy to solve the unemployment problem. But foreign
aid promotes capital-intensive growth. So bulldozers and
heavy-duty tractors and power driven concrete mixers will be
utilized instead of labour intensive methods for construction of
buildings or dams or roads. Foreign aid is music to the ears of
our political leaders. But the UPFA will soon realize that the
music has stopped.