Economic policy’ has been a key topic of debate
among economists, social scientists, policy makers,
administrators, investors, donors and others interested in
growth and development. Over the past two decades, it has become
highly controversial and provocative due to the involvement of
donor agencies in economic policy issues of developing
economies. A detailed analysis of the small open economy of Sri
Lanka presents an interesting case study as its policy
experience covers both controlled and open economy policy
regimes over a period of five decades. Here are 23 well-trained
economists and social scientists who have put together an
in-depth and timely analysis about the change of policy regimes
and its impact on socio-economic development of Sri Lanka. It’s
a compendium of articles in honor of Gamini Corea in recognition
of his contribution to Sri Lankan economic policy making and
international policy making.
The volume is edited by Saman Kelegama,
Executive Director of the Institute of Policy Studies and
Co-Editor of South Asia Economic Journal, best known for his
contribution on policy analysis in Sri Lanka. An innovative
aspect of this volume is that it consists of six distinct
sections: i) development strategy and ideology, ii)
macroeconomic policy, iii) agriculture, industry and technology
development, iv) employment and labour, v) institutional and
governance issues, and vi) social welfare. The
editorintroduction to the volume with a summary of the
milestones of Gamini Corea’s career and to each of the parts and
chapters put the individual studies into context to provide a
comprehensive account of theory, issues and policy.
As far as we are aware, there exists at least
five major compendiums of studies dealing with evolution of
post-independence economic policy of Sri Lanka. This volume
however, is a welcome contribution as it presents a more careful
and detailed analysis of economic policy in Sri Lanka using a
structured format. Its time coverage and scope are much more
encompassing than any other study presently available. The
volume contains quite thorough and detailed analysis of policy
issues which are of vital importance to the on going policy
debate in Sri Lanka.
Chapters covered in Part I deal with growth of
manufactured exports and terms of trade, the influence of
development ideology in macroeconomic policy reform process, the
lessons of national planning, understanding policy reforms
(1960-2000) and the importance of the public sector and includes
Chapters 1-5. Part II deals with aspects related to fiscal
policy, public debt, and exchange rate while Part III
encompasses Chapters 9 to 11 focusing on agricultural
development, industrial policy, and technology development. Part
IV is concerned with employment and labour paying special
attention to labour productivity, youth unemployment and
migration. Part V examines issues related to economic
liberalization and institutional reform, competition policy,
privatization and regulation, and banking sector reforms. Part
VI consists of four studies on colonial lineages of the welfare
state, overview of the health sector, public investment in
education, and poverty alleviation.
The volume consists of 22 self-contained
chapters and the papers are well structured with sub-headings in
the use of themes and fully documented with references to the
literature in chosen areas. The economic policy issues discussed
in many of the papers are based on sound economic theory and
rigorous empirical work. Some of the papers are also rich in
inter-country and inter-temporal comparisons. The constraints of
space only allow a reviewer to discuss a small sample of papers
in the volume without being able to do justice to all the paper
writers.
Two papers on growth of manufacturing exports
and exchange rates provide an interesting policy debate paying
due attention to early contributions by Gamini Corea. More
specifically, the Chapter on ‘Manufacturing Sector Exports’
makes an attempt to test the validity of Corea’s allegiance to
the new export pessimism and the recent terms of trade debate.
Similarly, Chapter on ‘Exchange Rates’ examines the behaviour of
exchange rates with special reference to Corea’s contribution in
setting up the multiple exchange rate system in the late 1960s.
The paper on "the Influence of Development Ideology in
Macroeconomic Policy Reform," provides an interesting account on
the changing international opinion on ‘development debate’ and
policy response to economic shocks in Sri Lanka. The Chapter on
‘Understanding Reforms (1960-2000)’ presents a comparative
assessment of reforms and their outcomes. It also examines
future perspectives for policy reform and points out that "there
is indeed a real opportunity for a deal between Sri Lanka and
the donor community at present whereby Sri Lanka commits itself
to the policies needed for low inflation and prudent debt
management while the donors guarantee aid support adequate to
look after market failures comprehensively and sustain rapid
growth."
The paper on importance of the Public Sector in
Economic and Social Development’ examines yet another
controversial issue - the role of the public sector in Sri Lanka
- paying particular attention to the Report of the South
Commission which included Corea. In its conclusions the author
states that "the crux of the matter is that both the public and
private sector are the engines of growth; one alone is
inadequate. In a growing economy there is room for both to
co-exist." The Chapter on `D4Fiscal Policy’ provides an
important contribution to current policy debate on fiscal and
taxation system in Sri Lanka paying special attention to
declining trend of government revenue, relationship of taxation
to savings, capital formation and investment, the elasticity
buoyancy of the fiscal system, tax evasion, the black economy
and tax amnesties and fiscal devolution. Similarly, the policy
analysis covered by two papers on ‘Competition Policy’ and
‘Privatization and Regulation’ is relevant and important in the
present context of economic policy debate in Sri Lanka.
The paper on ‘Youth Unemployment’ is an
interesting exploration of the causal factors affecting
unemployment and the author argues that "what Sri Lanka’s
experience over the last five decades or so shows is that the
most fundamental factor behind the phenomenon of heavy
unemployment in the economy is inadequacy of accumulation and
consequent sluggishness in economic growth." At the end of the
analysis, the paper provides several policy insights including
selective state interventions and appropriate institutional
arrangements. The Chapter on ‘Poverty Alleviation’ looks at the
poor in their micro-meso-macro framework and examines the
complex linkage between the poor and the environment that
controls their economic and social well-being. It is an
interesting piece of work on pro-poor growth focusing on both
theoretical and implementation issues. At the end the author
rightly points out that "the agenda of the National Poverty
Reduction Strategy, which is the implementation plan for the
pro-poor growth concept, has to be decentralized down to the
divisional level with time-bond targets. This has not happened
as yet. Debates can go on and on in these two arenas."
Three papers dealing with agriculture, health
and education raise some important issues and provide additional
stimulus to on-going policy debate at sectoral level. For
example, the paper on agriculture, discusses the controversies
surrounding post-independence period. In its conclusions the
author states that "it is interesting to note that current
controversies in agricultural policies have been generated by
policies recommended by, and often insisted upon by
international institutions." The paper on health sector examines
emerging demand and supply conditions and its implications for
growth and expansion of the health sector. Similarly, the paper
on education presents a comparative assessment of education
sector and policy directions vital for future development.
It will be obvious to any reader that this
volume makes contributions on a wide range of relevant and
important aspects of Sri Lankan economic policy debate. The
contributions offer multiple perspectives on evolution of
economic policy in Sri Lanka. All in all, they are a refreshing
collection of well researched papers that provide us with a much
needed alternative views on current Sri Lankan policy debate.
The primary limitation of this book is the lack
of cohesion typically found in a collection of articles written
by a diverse set of researchers. The link between formal
underlying theory and empirical support is also weak in some
chapters. For example, Chapter 11 on ‘Technology Development:
Key Issues in Productivity’ states nothing about productivity.
It has also failed to capture some of the key arguments relating
to R&D, productivity and competitiveness of Sri Lanka.
Similarly, the paper on ‘the Lessons of National Planning’ is
rather descriptive and the coverage is of less relevance to
on-going economic policy debate in Sri Lanka. Reader should not,
therefore, expect this volume to provide conclusive evidence on
some of the issues currently debated among policy circles.
Instead what they will find in some chapters is that the authors
have identified and highlighted a set of interesting issues and
debates. Another major limitation of this volume centres on the
selection of topics. Indeed, the volume has failed to cover some
of the key sectors seriously threatening the socio-economic
development of Sri Lanka i.e. energy and transport.
Despite these observations, most of the
individual chapters are lucid and informative, based on careful
revision of literature and an assessment of competing views. The
balance between reviews and original work is about right for a
mainly policy-oriented document. The real value of this volume
is that it provides a good coverage of policy regimes over the
past five decades with a clear focus on its socio-economic
impact and future directions. This volume covers much ground,
and the clear and careful presentation will make it useful to
policy makers, academics, researchers and students and a rich
source for further research.
(Dr. Sunil Chandrasiri is a Senior Lecturer at
the Department of Economics, University of Colombo)