by Dr. Garvin Karunaratne.
Formerly of SLAS
These are the days when the World Bank and the IMF demand
that the Third World follow the Structural Adjustment Programme
provisions, which simply mean the death of local production,
dependence on imports; unemployment for the our people; the
liberal use of foreign exchange far beyond what we have; paving
the way for a situation where we have a foreign exchange deficit
of almost one billion dollars a year to be bridged either
through privatisation (the sale of assets like the hen that lays
eggs) or by further borrowing leading our country to become
further indebted and throwing us to the wolves of the
international community in a bigger way. It has also happened
that the foreign banks are ruling the foreign exchange situation
of our country, after the ill-advised free float introduced in
January 2001. The Central Bank can only control the local
currency.
On his last visit to Sri Lanka Mahatir Muhammed said that if
a country cannot control its foreign exchange it is not fit to
rule itself. The mandarins at the Central Bank fail to yet
understand that if they want to control the economy they must
first control our foreign exchange. There is no need for the
Central Bank to have regional offices in districts when their
main task is to do as the IMF and the international community
say. I hope the new Governor of the Central Bank has the courage
to take the bull by the horns without grovelling before it.
Sri Lanka is a country that has, as a popular saying goes,
fallen from the frying pan into the fire. The celebrated
Mahinda Chintanaya that boldly laid down the proper
self-reliant method, the only process for the redemption of our
country from indebtedness, poverty and deprivation to which the
country was led under the UNP rule after 1977, is daily receding
to the background under the dictates of the international
community and the IMF.
The international community, which offers $ 4.5 billion
ensures that we will spend it in such a manner that it will go
back to the developed countries with interest. The entire
mechanism of aid is engineered in such a manner that riches by
way of interest, services and trade flow from the Third World to
the developed countries. Look at the multinational eateries
which have come to be venerated in this country. They rake our
rupees and send them back to their respective countries. So are
the investors. They come on tax holidays and send their profits
back. Though they do not pay any taxes to Sri Lanka, their
profits get taxed in the developed country. What an ingenious
way to exploit the world!
What is happening today under the very Mahinda Chintanaya
is very revealing. The shops are full of all types of
imports. Many items that can easily be manufactured locally are
being imported. Gone are the days when the government decided
what we should import. I have had first hand experience with
industries as a state official. We assessed the capacities of
the local industries, registered them and gave foreign exchange
allocations to import what was necessary––items that we could
not make locally.
Now we allow businessmen to import whatever they feel like so
that they can make a fast buck. In these days of economic
liberalisation what is imported is not in the interests of the
country. It is a question of how much profit one can make from
it. If one looks around one will see the rusty car parts
imported from Japan and Singapore. We have solved their dumping
problem by purchasing their "garbage".
At the Katunayake Airport, there was a BMW 500 series offered
in a raffle draw. A ticket is $ 250 but when I inquired I was
told to pay Rs. 27,000 for a ticket. Why are we importing cars
with foreign exchange and selling them for local currency? Who
benefits? It is the car dealers and the salesmen and the rich in
the country. The national debt increases. The government should
encourage our expatriates to send cars as gifts because then we
get the cars without incurring our hard earned foreign exchange.
Have we forgotten that George Bush the President, the
President of the United States of America imposed a tariff of 30
per cent on imports of steel to save the US Steel industry. Why
did we reduce the tariff on imported paper making our
Embilipitiya Paper industry go out of business? These are the
areas where we have to make decisions in the interests of the
country.
We import food easily spending over 50 billion rupees every
year. Of this, we can easily produce everything except wheat
products for which we have to spend less than ten billion. We
can also produce almost overnight many small scale industrial
goods. We can easily resurrect the brass industry––making door
locks, hinges etc. Let me reminisce of what I did myself.
Under the Divisional Development Councils Programme we
established a Crayon Making Factory at Deniyaya in 1982 and till
the UNP liberalisation procedures forced its closure in 1978 it
produced around a fifth of Sri Lanka’s crayons, saving valuable
foreign exchange and also creating employment for local youths.
This industry saved over 95 per cent of what was spent on the
import of crayons. The only imports were dyes and thanks to my
colleague Harry Guneratne, the Controller of Imports, he had the
vision to allow us an allocation to import dyes with the funds
earmarked for the import of crayons. He immediately reaped a
foreign exchange saving of 95 per cent. The process of
manufacture was finalised in the school laboratory at Rahula
College, Matara, done by school teachers and the Kachcheri
staff. The industry was commercially viable in six months. Isn’t
this what we have to do both to save our foreign exchange and
create employment?
I designed and implemented the Youth Self Employment
Programme of Bangladesh in 1982, a Programme that now trains
160,000 a year to become commercially viable entrepreneurs and
has so far during the past 23 years had in its fold over a
million self employed––easily the premier employment creation
programme that anyone can find anywhere.
This was done in a very simple manner without the creation of
any new department, just by adding the subject of
entrepreneureship to vocational training, where the trainees
were taught to draft their own projects to become self-employed.
Every trainee who joined the programme to become self-employed,
even by making a dress (dressmaking students), or by producing
milk (livestock students), producing eggs (poultry students)
producing a furniture item (carpentry students), was taught
costing and marketing through a practical approach. The
lecturers at the training institutes could not wash their hands
of the trainees after they passed out. The teachers had to guide
the trainees to be successful in the ventures. The training
institutes could not close their doors after study hours.
Instead the doors were kept open to enable the trainees to use
the machinery to make something for sale. No new staff was
required. The existing staff was entrusted with the task of
enabling the trainees to utilise what they learnt.
In Sri Lanka, we have fully fleged departments with staff
that must be made to either deliver or depart. I wanted to buy a
quality rambutan plant, and it was not available either at the
Colombo 7, the Nittambuwa or the Gannoruwa sales depots. Some of
the depots are not economically viable at all. Take the Coconut
Development Board offices. They are full of clerks for
documentation purposes. There are no coconut saplings for sale!
One has to travel all the way to the Walpita Farm to see someone
really working. What has happened is that over the years every
government took a short cut to generating employment by
expanding the staff. We have a host of Grama Nilaradhis,
most of them are trained in agriculture. They do very little by
way of public service. During my days at Kegalle, the Grama
Sevakas were required to work and they organised mass
voluntary work campaigns that built roads, culverts etc. to
develop the infrastructural facilities at the grass roots level.
Some Grama Sevakas were more efficient than the then
Divisional Revenue Officers. Take the Land Development
settlements. We have hordes of officers who should be required
to work with the people on land settlements. There should be
long term plans to plant coconut and such long time crops while
simultaneously there should be cultivation of vegetables etc.
The marketing has to get organised. The World Bank and the IMF
only know how to mislead the Third World countries and to ruin
their economic development because it is then that the developed
countries can sell their products at massive profits. It is they
who destroyed the infrastructure of marketing in Sri Lanka
comprising the Department for the Development of Marketing , the
Paddy Marketing Board and the network of cooperatives that
worked as their purchasing agents, which had been painstakingly
built over decades.
In my days in Bangladesh, when working on the Youth Self
Employment Programme, we stayed away from both the IMF and the
World Bank. They dictated to the Livestock Department, the
Agricultural Department and the Cottage Industries Department.
The Ministry of Youth worked parallel to all these departments
using their services at the district level, unhindered by the
dictates of the IMF. It is necessary to put up resistance to the
IMF and the World Bank. I challenge those two institutions to
show, if they could, any programme or project anywhere in the
world, which can match the Youth Self Employment Programme of
Bangladesh.
In fact, the ILO tried hard in Bangladesh in the three years
before 1982 to establish a self employment programme but in
vain.
As Mahatir Muhammed proved during the East Asian Economic
Crisis on 1997, listen to and follow the IMF and any country is
doomed to failure. Control the intake of foreign exchange,
allocate the foreign exchange according to national needs and
not according to the needs of the rich in the country and bring
about local production and that is the only way to success.
Sri Lanka sold her right of handling her own foreign
exchange, when she free floated the rupee in 2001 according to
the dictates of the IMF. Luckily, we have the two Banks the
People’s Bank and the Bank of Ceylon to handle the foreign
exchange that they get. The foreign banks are allowed to hoard
the foreign exchange they collect and they can manipulate the
prices. Didn’t the foreign banks in Sri Lanka hoard the foreign
exchange they had collected and bid the price upwards when the
public banks did not have sufficient foreign exchange to pay a
petroleum bill on 25 th January 2001, when the value of the
Rupee fell from Rs. 85 to the dollar to Rs. 106 to the dollar?
What the Government did to correct the situation was
interesting. It found $ 25 million from the privatisation
proceeds of Air Lanka and another $ 25 million from a loan
secured from the Asian Development Bank and fed it into the
system to enable the rupee to acquire stability (The Sunday
Times,March 6, 2001). After the free float of the rupee the
government cannot intervene.
The Central Bank has said, "In a free floating regime, the
market forces determine the exchange rate. The Central Bank does
not intervene in the process. The Central Bank has control over
the domestic money supply."(The Island Feb. 17,2001).
As a child, I read The Emperor in New Clothes. All the
courtiers and the mandarins dared not say that the Emperor was
stark naked. They had to admire the new clothes for fear
of incurring the wrath of the Emperor. All it took to tell the
Emperor he was naked was the courage of a small boy.
Those mandarins who claim that the free float of the Rupee
has been a success must get their heads examined. In fact, no
less a person than the Deputy Managing Director of the IMF,
Shigemitsu Sugisaki misled us when he commended Sri Lanka for
adopting the floating regime. He said that "the authorities
adopted a floating exchange rate regime on 23 rd January 2001
and the Rupee has since stabilised". (The Daily News
April 23, 2001). He had to sing hosanna for the IMF as otherwise
he would have been sent packing like Professor Joseph Stiglitz,
the Chief Economist of the World Bank, who pointed out that the
advice of the IMF to Indonesia to combat the 1997 East Asian
Financial Crisis would bear negative results.
Free Floating is in the interest of the developed countries,
because that enables the foreign banks to bid the local currency
down by creating a scarcity of foreign exchange. Currently, the
US is waging a war of sorts with China to get the Yuan free
floated, but the Chinese have resisted.
What has happened to Turkey is an eye opener to us. When the
Lira was free floated on February 22, 2001 the Lira immediately
dropped 32 per cent in value, leading to a capital flight that
briefly sent interest upto 5000 per cent overnight. What
happened to the Turiskish Lira is of crucial importance to Sri
Lanka. When I went to Turkey in 2005, I was given 2,300,000 Lira
for a sterling pound. It is of great interest to note that the
value of a Lira had been 330 to a sterling pound in 1983.
What happened was that Turkey got loans on a massive scale
for the development of its roads, airports, etc. and this has
ended in the country being overly indebted, with the foreign
banks causing bidding wars and the IMF manipulating the process
from behind the scenes. We in Sri Lanka have just signed a
contract to have a dozen fly overs in Colombo. I am told that we
are planning a toll road to Kandy. An engineer once proved that
the loss of production caused by the use of developed land for
the southern motorway is enormous and can never be repaid.
I have travelled on the motorways in Turkey and Mexico. Both
are countries where the foreign debt ballooned due to
expenditure on motorways and infrastructure. The motorways are
empty because the locals cannot afford to buy the petrol to run
their cars. Turkey is a country that is far more developed and
resourceful than Sri Lanka. If the fate that befell Turkey to
devalue its currency from Lira 330 in 1983 to Lira 2,300,000 in
2005, is to fall to Sri Lanka, which is bound to happen, as we
continue on the path dictated by the IMF to grab loans and spend
on unproductive projects, then there is the risk of our rupee
being devalued to such an extent that Rs. 1,352,800 will go for
one sterling pound.