While the week was limited to 3 days, the first
trading day of the year commenced with a bang with both indices
maintaining a steady upward trend throughout the day with the
ASPI and MPI advancing 23 points and 48 points respectively.
Thursday proved somewhat volatile while Friday saw a slight
slump in the market.
However both indices managed to close the week
on positive territory with the ASPI advancing 17.2 points
(0.63%) to close at 2739.56 while the MPI moved up 31.27 points
(0.84%) to finish at 3743.07. Highest trade volume wise for the
week was Lanka Indian Oil Company with 2.32Mn shares mostly due
to heavy interest on Friday (on news of the long awaited subsidy
settlement) where on that day alone 2.19Mn shares were traded.
The counter closed the week Rs.2.50 higher at Rs.30.50. Nations
Trust Bank witnessed a total of 1.71Mn shares change hands out
of which 0.4Mn shares were traded in a single local to foreign
crossing at Rs.29.50 on Thursday. Other notable quantities that
changed hands were Telecom giants Sri Lanka Teleocm with 1.66Mn
shares and Dialog with 1.43Mn shares. On 2 out of the 3 days,
local conglomerate John Keells Holdings contributed the most to
Turnover, and for the week witnessed a total of 0.72Mn shares
change hands with the counter reaching a high of Rs.196.75 and a
low of Rs.194.25 before closing at Rs.194.50.
Turnover for the week stood at Rs.812.89Mn
reflecting a daily average of Rs.270.96Mn. Highest contributors
were John Keells Holdings with Rs.141.28Mn (17.4%), Lanka Indian
Oil Company with Rs.67.92Mn (8.4%), ACL Cables with Rs.57.69Mn
(7.1%), Chemical Industries (Non Voting) with Rs.56.41Mn (6.9%)
and Nations Trust Bank with Rs.51.34Mn (6.3%). Foreigners were
daily more prominent on the selling side bringing the net
outflow to Rs.141.77Mn. They were seen divesting their stakes
mostly in John Keells Holdings and Dialog. Some of the "BMS
Stocks In Focus" that gained WoW were ACL Cables and Aitken
Spence which strengthened by Rs.5 each, Central Finance which
advanced Rs.2 and Hemas and Sri Lanka Telecom which edged up
Rs.1.25 each. Losers included Hatton National Bank and Durdans
which slipped Rs.1.50 each and The Finance Company which lost
Rs.1. With the retail and high net worth participation still at
the low end after the holiday season, BMS expects activity
levels to improve next week and considering the impressive 41%
return on the market for last year, we advice attention on the
fundamental counters particularly the mid-cap stocks that are
still trading at attractive levels.
Weekly Update: Page 2 LIOC Update For the year
2006, the Power & Energy sector performed the worst, slipping
17.95% in its sector price index mostly due to the disappointing
activity on LIOC. As most investors have been burnt by the LIOC
debacle, questions keep rolling in regarding the company’s
current situation and a brief update is as follows: The
"Settlement Agreement" between LIOC and the Government of Sri
Lanka was finally signed on Friday 5th Jan 2007 and the company
received the long awaited subsidy payments due to them. Out of
the Rs.7.6Bn owed, the company has agreed to waive Rs.2.4Bn and
hence Rs.700Mn was received in the form of cash and Rs.4.46Bn
worth of 2 year bonds carrying an interest rate of 11%. The
interest receivable from the bonds will in turn be used to
settle interest payments on the company’s outstanding loans.
With world oil prices climbing to little more than $60 per
barrel, both CPC and LIOC have increased their retail prices of
petroleum by Rs.5 to Rs.97 but this still fails to provide a
satisfactory Gross Profit Margin.
Although a free pricing policy is in place, LIOC
is unfortunately dependent on CPC in increasing prices as the
market is extremely price sensitive and should LIOC not match
CPC’s prices it will risk losing around 50% of sales volumes.
CPC in turn will be pressured not to raise prices too much as
this will have a knock-on effect on various aspects of the
economy. For the 6 months ended Sept 2006, LIOC has posted a
loss of Rs.1.18Bn and while it is unlikely that they will be
able to register a positive bottom-line for the FY2006/07,
future profitability will depend on the company’s ability to
pass on the true cost of petrol to the consumer. Meanwhile, work
is still ongoing at their lubricant blending plant in
Trincomalee and is expected to be operational by June 2007.