by Kumar David
Real Power to the People: A Novel Approach to
Electoral Reform in British Columbia by R. B. Herath.
University Press of America, 2007; paperback 227 pages.
(For orders: www.univpress.com or info@rbherath.com)
Where except in some Alice in Wonderland
world would you commission a federation of undertakers to design
life saving systems? In what macabre comedy would Nikolai Gogol
populate a jury with prosecutors and defendants? And where but
in Sri Lanka would you have a committee of parliamentarians
design electoral reforms? I have heard MPs and MP-cum-Ministers
express themselves freely about the Parliamentary Committee on
Electoral Reform. No prizes for mapping the gist of the
conversation; 90% of the concern was the stakeholders own
re-election prospect, 10% was about "Will it benefit my party?"
and 1% was about "my community." The greatest error Sri Lanka is
making in electoral reform design is failing to exclude these
self-serving incumbents from the process; it must be taken away
from them and vested in the people.
The British Columbia case study
There has been a recent example where designing
a new electoral system was taken away from politicians and
parties and vested in the people and the experience has been
meticulously recorded in a very readable book. This unique
experiment took place in 2004-2005 in the Canadian province of
British Columbia (BC) where a Citizens’ Assembly of 160 people
was established to review the provincial electoral system and
recommend an alternative if necessary. Eighty men and eighty
women were drawn from adult Canadian citizens ordinarily
resident in the province, with a small number of exceptions. The
ineligibility criteria were telling; no federal or provincial
MPs, no candidates at the last two elections, no officials or
official representative of registered political parties, no
judges and a few other categories.
The 160 assembly members were chosen by a random
process from the provincial voters list but in such a way as to
have one man and one woman from each of the 79 electoral
districts. First, 15,800 names were drawn at random from the hat
and gradually whittled down. The final membership included
people from all classes and walks of life. Two persons of
aboriginal ancestry (Native Canadians) were added to make the
160. The Chairman, a distinguished Canadian academic (Dr Jack
Blaney, former president of Simon Frazer University) was
nominated by the law minister (called the Attorney General) and
confirmed after a hearing before a special panel of the
legislature, making a total of 161. Administrative support and
highly qualified research staff, downtown office space and a
budget were provided by the BC Government. The Assembly worked
from January to November 2004 and submitted a report
recommending a new electoral system for BC. This was put to a
provincial referendum in May 2005, but more on all this anon.
Why electoral reform?
Dr R. B. Herath, an engineer of Sri Lankan
origin and BC resident, was fortunate to make it through the
numerous steps of random selection all the way to assemblyman,
and we are fortunate because he has chronicled the story of the
Citizens’ Assembly in a book that will be of lasting value. Many
communities are wracked by the problems of electoral mismatch,
such as, legislators who are weak representatives because they
are not close enough to electorates (proportional representation
or PR systems), extreme swings of legislature strength (first
past the post or FPTP systems) and limitations of voter choice
(except where complex preferential voting is used). Dr Herath
tells us about one brave effort to square these overlapping
circles.
As a citizens’ group with no vested personal
interests the process as described by Dr Herath was objective
and driven by the overriding concern "What is best for BC?"
British Columbia has had a longstanding FPTP system, identical
with ours until the execrable J.R. Jayewardene constitution of
1978. FPTP has several drawbacks, firstly wild swings of
majority such as 1956 and 1977 when the UNP and SLFP,
respectively, were reduced to less than 10 seats in a 100-odd
member House though they polled nearly 30% of the vote. The
second defect is lack of proportionality, invariably the winning
party polls no more than 40% of the vote but has a comfortable
legislative majority and governs with hubris ignoring 60% of the
population for the next five or six years. The third major
defect is that minority parties may not get a look in. The JVP
sees purple, or is it red, when reminded of FPTP; in the current
PR scheme its 8% total poll translates to about 12 seats when it
goes it alone, but if it goes it alone in an FPTP election the
JVP will get zilch seats. The experience in BC over the years
had been a replay of these same story lines. People were
agitated and wanted something to better ensure proportionality
and fairness; this was the genesis of interest in electoral
reform.
The Assembly Process
The Citizens Assembly divided its activities
into three phases, Learning, Public Hearing and Deliberation
with breaks between phases. The Learning Phase was a three month
intensive short-course in electoral systems taught by invited
experts and Assembly research staff peppered with discussions.
Chapter 4 details the different types of plurality-majority,
proportional and preferential voting systems in use all over the
world. In the two month Public Hearing Phase the 160 assemblymen
split into small groups and conducted 50 public hearings in all
parts of BC acclimatising themselves with the views of public
interest groups, pressure groups and individuals. The
Deliberation Phase consisted of two months of debate and
discussion at which the Assembly thrashed out options, finalised
a decision and wrote its report. All stages were open for public
observation. The Assembly had its own website partitioned into a
public submission and consultation section and a closed section
for assemblymen to debate and exchange views.
Chapters 5 and 6 contain an illuminating summary
of these phases and the different views canvassed by the public.
The three-phase arrangement was a success since within a fairly
short time a group of lay citizens became knowledgeable, engaged
in adequate public consultation and arrived at a final
recommendation with enthusiasm and commitment. There was
substantial public interest, support and trust in the Assembly.
It is unlikely that an electoral reform enquiry undertaken by a
group of politicians would have won public interest or trust.
The outcome
In the Deliberation Phase the Assembly reduced
its focus to two options PR-STV (proportional representation
with single transferable vote) and MMP (mixed member
proportional system). PR-STV is a system where party lists are
placed on the ballot but voters can vote across party lines. A
voter indicates a priority order by marking 1, 2, 3 etc (not
necessarily from the same party) on the ballot; hence the system
is skewed towards candidate rather than party preference.
Electoral districts are multimember, in the range of 4 to 7. If
for example there are 50,000 valid votes cast and 5 seats, then
candidates who obtain above a Quota of 10,000 first preference
votes are deemed elected – obviously this will be less than 5.
Next the second preferences of these elected candidates and the
second preferences of the lowest polling candidate are allocated
among the others. The highest scorer is deemed elected and the
process continues until all five seats are filled.
The MMP process is a constituency plus
proportional based system. After the constituency seats are
filled the PR seats are allocated so as to top up those parties
that have obtained less than their fair proportional share. For
example if a party secures 15% of the seats but polls 25% of the
national vote, an additional number of seats will be allocated
to it to raise its total to 25% of the legislature. This is more
complicated than the straightforward mixed system proposed in
Sri Lanka where the number of available PR seats is fixed in
advance and will be distributed among parties in proportion to
the total number of votes polled by each in all the
constituencies.
People-designed...
Dr Herath provides an interesting account of the
internal debates and fills us in with anecdotes that add to the
readability of the text – I got through the whole book in three
half-day sittings. Eventually the PR-STV option was adopted by
the Assembly, much to the chagrin of the author, who, reading
between the lines, seems to have been the leader of the MMP
camp.
British Columbia conducted a referendum in May
2005 to ascertain whether to retain the FPTP system or change to
PR-STV. The threshold was set very high; at least 60% of the
electoral districts and 60% of the total provincial poll was
demanded for ratification. While 77 of the 79 districts voted in
favour of change, the total poll at 57.7% fell 2.3% short of the
benchmark. Hence the reform proposal was deemed to have failed.
A second referendum is proposed for some time in the future. Dr
Herath is visibly bitter that the BC government did not conduct
an adequate public education programme to explain the complex
STV system and that both major parties in the province took a
neutral stance during the referendum.
Some critical remarks
The book suffers from a few defects; the
mechanics of the two prime actors PR-STV and MMP are glossed
over. The mechanics, that is, the detailed workings of the
former gets just three sentences, the latter just one sentence.
"If a party won 10% of the seats but received 25% of the popular
votes, it would get enough PR seats to give it 25% of the seats
in the legislature." This is all we are told about the
nitty-gritty of MMP. Rather unhelpfully we are told that parties
that get more seats than their share of the popular vote will
not have any seats taken away from this. Hence size of the
legislature has to ebb and flow, like the tide, but nothing is
explained. The STV story as related in the book is even more
confusing. "If a candidate has more than a Quota (10,000 in the
previous example), the surplus is transferred to other
candidates based on the second preference indicated", we are
told. But which ballots are considered surplus? After all the
second preference indicated on different ballots will be
different!
There is some repetition that can be usefully
edited out. The heaviest repetition is summarising the
advantages and disadvantages of different electoral systems;
discursively in Chapter 3 and, irritatingly, twice in Chapter 6
in bullet-point form. Economising on space in this respect will
make ample space for detailing the working mechanics of the two
key electoral options; something for a second edition.
Real Power to the People is a must for all
readers interested in electoral reform, and that means everybody
who is interested in politics in Sri Lanka. Chapter 8 entitled
Sober Reflection is a thoughtful and useful drawing together of
the whole experience. This is an attractively styled and well
written book; I recommend it to you.