Oil falls after setting record
NEW YORK (AP) - Oil prices jumped to a
new record above $106 Friday but settled lower, extending their
recent pattern of choppy trading after a weak jobs report
convinced many traders that the Federal Reserve’s interest rate
cutting campaign will continue.
Employers cut 63,000 jobs in February, the
biggest drop in five years, the Labor Department said. Investors
can react to such news in one of two ways: by selling on the
prospect that the economy, and demand for oil, is cooling, or by
buying on a conviction that bad economic data makes it more
likely the Fed will cut rates.
On Friday, investors engaged in a little of
both, sending oil prices down more than a dollar at one moment,
and propelling them to new records the next.
"The higher the market goes, the more volatile
it becomes," said Darin Newsom, senior analyst at DTN in Omaha,
Neb. "Does it mean that the rally is over? No."
Light, sweet crude for April delivery fell 32
cents to settle at $105.15 a barrel on the New York Mercantile
Exchange. But prices fluctuated widely, setting a new trading
record of $106.54 and falling as low as $103.91.
At the pump, meanwhile, gas prices extended
their march toward new records, rising 0.4 cent to a national
average of $3.189 a gallon, according to AAA and the Oil Price
Information Service. Gas prices are 68 cents higher than a year
ago, and within a nickel of last May’s record price of $3.227 a
gallon. Many analysts expect prices to jump much higher as
driving demand picks up in the spring.
Lower interest rates tend to weaken the dollar,
and many analysts believe the weak dollar is the reason why oil
set new inflation-adjusted records four times this week, and has
risen 23 percent in less than a month.
Crude futures offer a hedge against a falling
dollar, and oil futures bought and sold in dollars are more
attractive to foreign investors when the dollar is falling. On
Friday, the dollar set a new low against the euro Friday before
rising. But most investors believe that despite occasional
rebounds, the dollar is likely to continue falling as the Fed
continues to cut rates.
"The swings in the dollar are still the most
critical item," said Jim Ritterbusch, president of Ritterbusch
and Associates, an energy consultancy in Galena, Ill.
Concerns about a possible conflict between oil producers
Venezuela and Colombia also supported oil prices Friday.