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Climate change talks in Copenhagen
Developing countries would have Moral high ground
Needles to say climate change is a result of global warming and global warming in turn is caused mainly by excessive absorption of solar energy by carbon particles. Carbon particles are there because of the burning of fossil fuels as 86 per cent of our energy needs are being supplied by fossil fuels.

Environment and Natural Resources Minister Patali Champika Ranawaka says as a result, people were confronted with two problems. One is the scarcity of fossil fuel. The world would experience, within the next five decades that oil would not be an energy source any more.

"We are now experiencing the oil peak -up to 2015- and oil deposits will simply be exhausted by the year 2059. On the other hand burning of oil causes more serious problems such as heat pollution and in turn it creates global warming," he added.

During the pre industrial era when oil or coal was not used as a main energy source, carbon concentration in the atmosphere was 260 parts per million (ppm). Now it has risen to 390 ppm. During the last century the mean temperature has risen by 0.730C. It is now predicted that the temperature would rise to a point between 1.50 and 60 Celsius, during the 21st century. Therefore, scientists introduced a carbon budget to avoid catastrophic environmental disaster which may end the humanity on the planet.

According to their calculations, if we could be able to go back to the 350ppm and limit the temperature rise to 1.50C relative the pre industrial era, there would be an over 90 per cent probability to avert an environmental calamity that could devastate this planet.

Most of the environmentalists are now talking about Kyoto Protocol (1997) USA and Canada; the worst polluters of the world have not ratified it jeopardizing its entire process. To be fair by the United States they had taken measures to cut down carbon without affecting their businesses.

The Kyoto Protocol makes it mandatory to cut the global emission level by five per cent relative to the 1990 level. Accordingly, the USA should cut their emission level by seven per cent over the 1990 level, Japan by six per cent, European Union by eight per cent. Only 39 developed countries were under obligation to cut their emission level. They could fulfill this by 2012.

However, Ranawaka points out by 2005 only 141 countries with 55 per cent green house gas emission have ratified the protocol. The first problem of the Kyoto Protocol is that as to why the 1990 level is used by it as the reference level. There is no scientific basis for it other than political reasons. One reason is that countries have accepted since 1992 that global warming is happening and it is because of the excessive carbon emissions. The Rio Earth Summit data is also available for the most of the countries from 1990 and the collapse of the Soviet block was also witnessed during that year. Although, Kyoto Protocol envisaged the `Polluter Pay’ principle, the polluters were not able to pollute anymore, because they had already polluted enough in the past.

Citing examples Ranawaka says the USA emission per-capita in 1990 was 19.2 tons per carbon and seven per cent reduction means nearly 18 tons or 18,000 Kilograms per person. However, according to the international scientists of the IPCC, the carbon budget allowed only 2170Kg per person. "So the US had polluted more according to Kyoto Protocol and therefore it has a right to pollute more," stressed Ranawaka.

Naturally developing countries asked what right are the developed countries entitled to pollute more than they do, is it simply because they have polluted more in the past. According to Ranawaka, this could be termed as climate racism or climate Nazism as it accepts that some super races and super nations exist – climate Nazism practiced by western powers.

"Our argument goes the other way. Because the US and other developed countries had polluted more in the past they should be allowed to pollute less in the future and in addition, they should be asked to pay for their past emissions - a historical responsibility of the carbon debt," he said.

The USA emits over 36 per cent of carbon and "Wyoming" the least populous state with only 495,700 people emits more carbon dioxide than 74 developing countries with a combined population of nearly 396 million. The carbon emission of Texas with a population of 22 million exceeds the aggregate emission of 120 developing countries with a combined population of 1.1 billion people.

For the past century the US had emitted more than 50 per cent of the total emissions of all the developing countries in the world put together.

On the other hand the US economy is very inefficient with respect to the black carbon content. Each dollar contains 0.56 grams of carbon.

He said whereas, in Japan it is 0.26 and in Sri Lanka it is 0.16 grams. "If they simply are matching the Japan’s energy efficiency they would have to reduce their emission by more than half without signing the Kyoto Protocol. But they ignored this under developed technological structure and simply were wasting fossil fuel deposits, causing genocide to others. When the US administration talks about human right violation, global terrorism, genocide etc., they should realize that its mirror image is much worse environmental human right violation, global climate terrorism and climate genocide over our children etc."

Joseph Stieglitz, the ex president of the World Bank and Nobel prize winner for economics rightly pointed out that any agreement should be based on emissions per dollar of GDP and emissions per-capita.

Once, the US tried to force Thailand to use turtle friendly nets to catch shrimps. By threatening to prevent shrimps caught in the old fashioned nets from entering US and the WTO accepted the US position. The precedent set by this case should apply to US itself. Maintaining global environment is important enough that normal access to markets.

So, in Copenhagen, developing countries will have a moral high ground and rational argument. On the other hand developed countries only have brute force and concepts like Climate Nazism, Climate Racism and Climate Terrorism.

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