BJP may retain power in Gujarat: opinion poll



Y S VENKAT NARAYAN


Our Special Correspondent


NEW DELHI, December 7: As polling begins in Gujarat on Saturday, the final round of Times Now -VMR opinion poll projects a win for the ruling Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP). The BJP has been ruling Gujarat since 1995.


The BJP is projected to win Prime Minister Narendra Modi's home state comfortably, but the target of 150 that the party set for itself seems distant. The survey projects BJP to win anywhere between 106-116 seats, that's well above the required majority mark of 91 seats.


The opposition Congress Party under its President-elect Rahul Gandhi, and his grand alliance of caste grouping has not been able to convert crowds into votes, registering a minor increase in seats from 61 now to anywhere between 63-73 seats in the next assembly.


The caste coalition hasnot worked as contradictory interests of threecasteist groupings worked at cross purposes for the Congress.


Times Now-VMR Opinion Poll was conducted by Votersmood Research (VMR), A total of 6,000 interviews were conducted at 684 polling booths across all four socio-eco regions of Gujarat. Interviews among eligible voters — covering all age groups, gender and the urban/rural divide — were conducted using a completely digital hands free interface, straight from tablet to computer. Thesurveyy was done during November 23-30with a margin of error +-3%.


The two-phase polling will take place on November 9 and 14. Counting is on November 18.


 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
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